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Showing posts with label trump winning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label trump winning. Show all posts

Monday, July 8, 2024

Biden's Not Handling His Richard Nixon Moment Well

For the Democrats what's happening with Joe Biden right now really is quite akin to a moment in time that former President Richard Nixon once faced, albeit under a different set of circumstances. Richard Nixon was facing an impeachment conviction as he had lost all of the support he had from his party.

Whether or not it was nobility on Nixon's mind when he decided to step down, handing over his resignation and giving the Oval Office to Gerald Ford, he knew the writing was on the wall and there was only one course of action to take.

And he did.

In Biden's situation you have to wonder what is on his mind through this latest string of calls from senior Democrats, news media and others asking him to step aside and resign from his campaign for reelection.

Here's a guy who has forever warned of the extreme dangers we may face if Donald Trump were put back in the White House. As he said to George Stephanopoulos in a scathing interview, "We are at an inflection point. Whoever wins now determines the course of our country for the next 60 or 70 years."

That seems pretty dire. So, if that's what he believes, and it is clear his chances of winning now are almost completely erased from reality, why would he continue to run if the only likely outcome of him doing that is that Trump wins?

If Nixon would have refused to step down, the Senate would have convicted him of impeachment, and he'd have been forced out of office, leaving the reins to Gerald Ford anyway, and leaving an even bigger stain on his legacy than resigning did, or even all the things about the scandal that haunted him to the very end.

His fall from grace would have been amplified many times over.

Sure, Biden thinks he can do the job. He thinks he's earned reelection. But the American people disagree, and so does his party. It's an arrogance, in a way, that sort of flies in the face of the arrogance their side has long accused Trump of.

"Trump doesn't care about you or about the country. He cares only about himself and his desire for power."

But what separates Biden from that argument? If he has no support and can't win, and feels that this is one of the most important election decisions in the country's history—why else would he allow that to happen other than to consider his own personal interests over the people and the country?

As I have said often, sometimes you have to do things that are in the best interests of the country even if your side has to lose. Country and America first are not just slogans. They are very important things to consider above all else.

Granted, the Democrats seem assured that replacing Biden is all they have to do to beat Trump. I think they are right to decide Biden's not their guy. But I think they are wrong to think that they will have the support of the American people if all they do is replace Biden.

The thing that seems to be becoming clear in the minds of most people is that the Democrat party made the wrong choice from the very start, and now it's come to rear its ugly head. The country is in a mess despite the claims coming from the White House that there are all of these accomplishments to account for. Americans have been lied to and hidden from the truth on purpose. And top contenders like Gavin Newsome don't have great records either.

Kamala is also a hot mess with approval ratings far below Biden's, and she is probably one of the most disliked vice presidents in America's history. She's also far from qualified to take on the job. Even then, pushing her aside would be considered a slight, and I think that would also leave a bad taste in many American's mouths despite her being an awful replacement choice.

The key takeaway is, how can we trust the Democrats? How can we trust anyone they might pick in Biden's stead? For three and a half years your side has pounded the drums telling us Donald Trump is the world's most dangerous man and the biggest threat to democracy this country has ever faced, and all you've done is do everything to make sure he wins?

Biden should step down. If not for the good of the country, but for the good of his party. It's the right thing to do when you have lost all of your support. It doesn't change the outcome even if he does, mind you. The ship that would bring them to safe shores has long sailed.

But at least go out with some dignity left. After countless lie after lie Biden has told to the American people time and time again, why make the last lie, "I can do the job?"

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© 2024 Jim Bauer

Thursday, January 18, 2024

Trump's Support Only Grows Despite Denials

I am sometimes, or I should say often times, confused by how some people's minds work. And that's not meant to be an insult in any way. It is simply an observation that I think some people's minds simply aren't functioning properly.

Take this statement we hear all too often, "Trump is losing support."

Huh?

I mean, to believe that one would have to completely have their head buried literally in the sand. It is demonstrably untrue. I know many people want to believe it, of course. Facts are hard for some people to swallow and even harder for some people to accept.

Trump is GAINING support. And in droves.

Granted, you do have to take polls with a grain of salt most of the time. They just aren't necessarily reliable. At the same time, when they begin to show a pattern, you have to take them more seriously. At least on the surface.

Trump is winning.

What is more telling here is where the polls generally come from and the way most polls are weighted to favor Democrats. If these polls show Trump in the lead, it means more than when it showed Hillary Clinton was in the lead. 

BECAUSE the polls are weighted to favor Democrats.

And because the polls are weighted to favor Democrats, when X number of people say they are supporting Trump for president, it means that the number of people actually supporting Trump for president are much higher.

In other words, the polls may well be weighted to favor Democrats, but there comes a time when that extra weighting gets crushed by reality and the reality becomes more and more evident in the results.

President Biden's approval ratings across every single issue important to Americans are in the tank. Americans are not happy with what he's doing. It's clear as a bell. You can't hide it because the reality is just too strong right now.

You couple that with what the polls are showing regarding Trump winning in key swing states, that's telling. You match this information up with how strong his support among Republicans is, that's telling. You look at where Trump is fairing regarding his own approval on key issues, that's telling too.

Americans are overwhelmingly agreeing Trump is better equipped to deal with the economy. He is seen as the one who can fix the border crisis and deal with the crime issues. He is seen as the one who can better manage the current wars happening around the world.

Across the board, and among nearly every demographic, Trump is gaining support. He is also gaining the confidence of the American people.

Also telling is the growing, and I mean growing number of Americans who are now saying they believe something was not right about the 2020 election and are questioning what happened and who was really behind January 6th. There is also a growing number of Americans unhappy with the indictments and constant negative media reporting about Trump—they are rightly asking the question, how bad is this guy, really?

In other words, they are seeing through the smoke and mirrors and less than ever are buying into every story being told.

Still, some people refuse to believe it. They refuse to accept it. 

But Trump IS gaining support. Believe it or not. Accept it or not. The truth cannot be made into an untruth. 

In 2016 Trump got 63 million votes. In 2020 he got 74 million votes. That means 17.5% more people voted for him in 2020 than did in 2016. He gained support. He still lost, if we believe the results, but nonetheless, the argument could not be made that he lost support.

He had 8% of the black vote in 2016. He had 10% in 2020. It is estimated he has 11%-13% of it now. He gained black voters.

He is also polling well among women, college students and Hispanics. He is gaining support. 

This is not to say that his winning in the general come November is a shoo-in. I want to be very clear about that. And it is not to say we can necessarily trust the polls either. I am simply saying that Trump is stronger than ever and is just getting stronger, and no matter how many people want to deny it or not believe it, the reality is telling a much different story, and the polls can't bury the truth any more than the media is able to right now.

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