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Showing posts with label swing states. Show all posts
Showing posts with label swing states. Show all posts

Friday, April 5, 2024

To Jimmy Kimmel: It's Because America Doesn't Live in Your Bubble

On Wednesday night's broadcast, Jimmy Kimmel told viewers during his monologue that Trump is leading in key swing states and this, "Just gives me a headache." His delivery was slow and melancholy, with him adding, "How could this be?"

I say, it's pretty simple. Biden's just not gotten the job done, and no matter how hard the left tries to sell the nonsense about things going well, it's just not adding up for any thinking American voter—and that happens to be true no matter which side one happens to be on.

In many polls, even many Democrats have lost faith in Biden's abilities. And it's a hard pill for any of these late-night talking heads to swallow, and it shows.

On top of that, there's one thing these lefties and late-night talk show hosts don't get. America is not as woke as you think they are. These guys live in a Hollywood bubble where everyone thinks like they do. They have guests who come on their shows and talk about woke things and they get applause from audiences who are just as woke as they are.

For them, it is affirmation. We ARE America and we are sharing Her views.

The reality is, it's not true. Late night ratings have been in a virtual free fall for years. It's nothing like the old days when Johnny Carson and David Letterman ruled the airwaves and late night was actually funny and entertaining to watch. At the same time, a conservative viewpoint is also beating them out in the ratings with Gutfeld on Fox News leading the pack.

Jimmy Kimmel is getting a headache because he can't see outside the bubble he lives in. The American people aren't okay with high prices at the pump and skyrocketing food costs. They're not okay with having transgenderism shoved down their throats and seeing trans people reading books to school children. People do see the border crisis and understand the dangers it poses.

And the American people aren't okay either with the complete dismissal by the left that America is dying under horrible progressive and liberal agendas that are putting Americans last.

Trump is winning because his message resonates with the majority of the American people, and because most people can see that what they (the left) are doing to Trump is simply trying to take him out, because they know he can win. They can see through the lies being pushed by the media about Trump's threat to democracy, his supposed criminal acts, and this ridiculous idea that he wants to become a dictator—some on the fringe have even suggested Trump will literally kill his political opponents.

The thing is the left thinks the only thing that matters in this race is that Biden isn't Trump. But at the same time, they fail to recognize that Trump got things done when he was the president the last time, Biden has been a total failure, and the American people are confident Trump can get the job done this time around again.

You have to have real accomplishments to boast about and win elections. 

On top of that, more and more Americans are having second thoughts about what they have been told about the 2020 election as well. As they see things unfold, they start to wonder, "How did this guy ever get elected?"

It will happen across the board. From Kimmel to Colbert to Fallon. They're all going to start complaining of headaches. Because their bubble is bursting, and reality is being allowed to settle in. The world they have seen for the past three years is not the same world we've all been living in. And no matter how many monologues they spit trying to sell a bill of goods that all is well in the world...

The voters know better.

Jimmy, I'd tell you to grab a bottle of Tylenol. But I think what you really need is a dose of reality. Stepping outside your bubble and viewing the past three years with a clear head is probably going to help you more than the Tylenol will.

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Sunday, November 19, 2023

Axelrod Says Biden May Have Worse than 50/50 Chance of Winning in 2024

I am no fan of David Axelrod, Obama's former campaign guru, but I agree with him when he recently publicly said that he feels Biden's chances of winning in 2024 are not only basically 50/50, but more likely much worse.

Granted, neither Biden nor Axelrod are fans of each other. Biden publicly called Axelrod a prick once. Either way, you have to at least give Axelrod credit for knowing a thing or two about elections and campaigns. 

Besides, I think one would actually have to be a fool to even consider Biden has any chance at all—despite who he is obviously running against and all the baggage that has been placed on Trump—if you use past history as any indication of what should happen here.

I mean, the guy's had a worse presidency than the worst president of all time, Jimmy Carter for Heaven's sake. It's been a literal disaster for the last four years. I think even many democrats, although they'd not be willing to state it out loud, would even admit things were much better when Trump was around than with Biden mucking the place up.

Nothing's working. That's the bottom line. And Biden's just not liked. Many don't even believe he's pulling the freaking reins here. So, who is? Who knows?

Either way, the country is going to hell in a handbasket and the people who vote simply can't ignore it. Beyond that, even while polls are often terribly unreliable, the polls are showing very strong leads by Trump in key swing states—states that are critical to win in any general.

Why do I find the polls a little bit more reliable in this case?

Two things to observe here. Polls are traditionally heavily weighted to side with democrats and many Trump supporters won't necessarily be openly vocal about their support for him.

So, if the polls are showing Trump leading, you have to run away with the thought that the numbers may be even bigger in support of Trump than the polls could even possibly demonstrate. I mean, I'm not going to call it now and say Trump might win by a landslide in 2024.

But I think Trump is going to win by a landslide in 2024.

Okay, okay. You caught me. I said that about Trump against Hillary in 2016 and that wasn't exactly a landslide. But it was an undeniable strong lead against her even if she ultimately beat him by 2 million votes in the popular vote.

You have a couple of things happening here. One is that Trump's popularity has only gained the more the democrats and the media have gone after him, and really, when you get down to the brass tacks here, there's simply nothing positive for Biden to even run on.

Sure, he can go out there and tout all those jobs he "created." But most people understand those were simply returning workers from the shutdowns. Not new jobs. He can go out there and talk the economy up. But Americans on both sides of the aisle can see their utility bills. They can see the final price at the gas pump higher than it was when Trump was president. They feel the reality of the economy any time they walk into a grocery store and fill their carts.

No matter which side you happen to be on, you have eyes, and you have a brain, and people can see and understand right in front of them that things aren't nearly as peachy as is being painted.

Not only that, but one has to wonder. Is Biden outright lying to us? Or is he just stupid? Maybe it's a little bit of both, actually. Again, who knows? Biden's a liar anyway, and he never did seem too bright. So, it could be anything.

The bottom line here is that it's not just David Axelrod ringing the alarm bells. Even when you look at approval ratings, it's just clear that practically no one thinks Biden is doing a good job. A recent poll also showed that more than 70% of those polled believes Trump is better equipped to handle the economy than Biden is.

And let's face it. The economy is sort of what Biden seems to want to be running on.

He simply has no solid ground to stand on. He can try to sell unicorns and rainbows, but nobody's actually buying it.

Speaking of polls, what's telling as well of Axelrod's rather grim prediction, is that not only is Trump beating Biden in nearly all of them. So are Trump's top 2 rivals. And they aren't small numbers there either. 

Both Ron DeSantis and Nikki Haley beat Biden by several percentage points according to most polls.

Now, there is yet another dynamic to consider as well. That's the never Trumper or anyone who will simply not vote for Trump under any circumstance. This actually puts votes right in Trump's pockets. I mean, look at where RFK Jr. is. He doesn't beat Biden. Not by a longshot. But if he gets 2% or 3% of the vote?

It's curtains for Biden even if Biden has any chance at all without someone contesting him. And yet another poll, among democrats only, says 54% would prefer a different candidate than Biden.

For whatever it's worth, I think it is very clear (even if it still too early to tell) who will be president in 2024. And while I won't say it will be Trump, I can say it won't be Biden. But of course, I have a brain too, and so I think we can all agree it will actually be Trump who takes the win.

David Axelrod may be a prick in the eyes of Joe Biden. But in the eyes of the American people, Biden's a loser.

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